The plan to accuse Trump of plotting a raid on Social Security and Medicare has worked for both Democrats and Republicans before. Recalling those old battles offers a hint of what Americans will see on their television screens and in their mailboxes this year, ahead of November's presidential election.
Trump himself handed Democrats the tools they will use to warn of his future actions. In an interview last month on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump told CNBC anchor Joe Kernen that cutting entitlement programs would be an option if he wins a second term.
"[Will] entitlements ever be on your plate?" Kernen asked.
“At some point they will be,” Trump said, before crowing about the nation’s economic growth.
“If you’re willing to do some of the things that you said you wouldn’t do in the past, though, in terms of Medicare —“ Kernen tried again.
“Well, we’re going — we’re going to look,” Trump said again.
Now, groups like Priorities USA say they will use the potential for entitlement cuts as part of a three-pronged attack on Trump. Trump, they will say, is proposing to cut entitlements after passing a tax bill that favored the wealthy, all while supporting a lawsuit seeking to overturn the Affordable Care Act’s protections for those with preexisting conditions.
“Here are policies proposed by the president, and talked about by the president, that are wildly unpopular. And you can pair that with policies he has already enacted,” Schwerin said.
Republicans remember the days of the Ryan budget all too well. After Ryan’s budget came out, Republicans complained that Democrats back in their districts were hammering them over the “end of Medicare as we know it.”
But, in what may represent an instructive lesson for both Democrats and Republicans this year, Amodei flipped the argument. He said only Democrats had voted to cut entitlement spending, through the Affordable Care Act. His mother appeared in campaign ads, pledging that her son would never take away benefits.
Republicans accused Democrats of misleading attacks back then, and Trump's campaign plans to do so again this time.
"President Trump has made clear that he will protect the benefits of people who rely on programs like Social Security and Medicare," said Tim Murtaugh, Trump's campaign spokesman. "Because of President Trump’s stellar record of success for all Americans, all that Democrats have to run on is fear and misinformation. It won’t work."
For all the controversy he has endured, President Trump’s favorable and job ratings have remained remarkably consistent, trading within a narrow range for three straight years. Few Americans are undecided about, or willing to change their views of, the most polarizing president in modern history.
That means Democrats will not be able to move voters by attacking Trump’s impolitic statements, or his impeachable offenses. Voters have already decided whether they like Trump or not — more accurately, whether they love him or hate him. But the potential entitlement cuts at which Trump hinted open a new opportunity for Democrats to cut into Trump’s base, one that could hit the pocketbooks of the largest bloc of voters in the country.
“It’s something,” Schwerin predicted, “that will show up in a lot of ads.”
On The Trail is a reported column by Reid Wilson, primarily focused on the 2020 elections.
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On The Trail: Democrats plan to hammer Trump on Social Security, Medicare | TheHill - The Hill
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